Global markets
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The AI bubble question: $800 billion of capex, rising credit stress, cheap yen, and what it means for Nepal
Big Tech is spending close to a trillion dollars on AI, increasingly with borrowed money at 7-15% yields, while credit insurance on Oracle hits records and cheap yen funds leveraged bets. We connect every link, from bonds to margin calls to 2008, and show how it could reach Nepal.
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27 Oct 2026 · 6 min · 9 views
Short squeeze and long squeeze: how they happen - and what they mean for NEPSE
Forced buying and forced selling: how a short squeeze and a long squeeze start, GameStop, Volkswagen and oil at minus $37, and the NEPSE angle.
25 Oct 2026 · 10 min · 22 views
Short selling and intraday trading in Nepal in 2026: is it possible, and what stands in the way?
Short selling is still not legal on NEPSE, and intraday trading is only a proposal. SEBON's plan step by step, every hurdle with our data, and what other markets learned.
25 Oct 2026 · 10 min · 30 views
Is SIP in Nepal worth it in 2026? The 15-20% promise vs the real returns
No SIP fund in Nepal has returned 15-20% a year. The real numbers from every fund and seven years of prices - and what a SIP is actually good for.
23 Oct 2026 · 3 min · 2 views
Market breadth on NEPSE: when everything rises, watch out
When more than 85% of NEPSE stocks were in uptrends, the index was a median 7.6% lower two to three months later - at the 2022, 2025 and 2026 peaks.
18 Oct 2026 · 6 min · 4 views
Why banks that lend to one sector are risky: concentration risk in Nepal (and abroad)
When a bank lends too much to one sector, one bad year can sink its profits. Nepal's land bust, the 2021 share-loan boom and four global bank failures show how.
14 Oct 2026 · 3 min · 8 views
Sector rotation on NEPSE: does chasing the hot sector pay? (and 2022's tech-to-energy shift)
Buying the sector everyone talks about was a coin toss. Money leaving a sector was the warning that worked - and 2022 showed why.
14 Oct 2026 · 4 min · 6 views
Factor investing on NEPSE: do value, quality or momentum beat the market?
We tested the rules big funds use - value, quality, growth, low volatility, momentum - on NEPSE after costs. Momentum lost 7.7% a year.
14 Oct 2026 · 4 min · 11 views
Cornering on NEPSE: when a few brokers hold the float (and the Volkswagen squeeze)
Half the stocks where a few brokers held the float and the price jumped fell 25% within three months. The same mechanics once made Volkswagen the world's most valuable company.
14 Oct 2026 · 5 min · 5 views
Debentures in Nepal vs fixed deposits: what they really pay (and the SVB lesson)
A 10% coupon is not a 10% return. What NEPSE debentures really pay against a bank deposit - and how safe bonds sank Silicon Valley Bank.
14 Oct 2026 · 4 min · 20 views
How to read COT data for gold, silver and oil: a simple guide
What the weekly futures report shows, the four numbers to watch, and what our 10-year test found for gold, silver and oil.
14 Oct 2026 · 5 min · 16 views
The future of ETFs in Nepal: lessons from BlackRock and Global X
Nepal has no ETF yet, but SEBON plans them. How iShares and Global X built a US$22 trillion industry - and what Nepal needs first.
14 Oct 2026 · 5 min · 152 views
Why gold, silver and platinum are falling despite war - and how the US bond selloff is doing it
A war should be gold's moment. Instead a 5% US bond and a strong dollar have been the safer bet - here's the chain from oil to yields to gold.
13 Oct 2026 · 6 min · 6 views
How interest rates move stocks, bonds and currencies: the US, Japan's carry trade and Nepal
Why the Fed's 2022 hikes, Japan's 12% one-day crash and NEPSE's 2024 rally all come back to the price of money.