Case study: City Hotel (CITY) - a liquidity sweep, a CHoCH and an order block (stopped out)

Case study - written after this trade played out, to show the method step by step. It was not a live call, and it isn't advice to buy or sell.

The setup. City Hotel (CITY) had been making lower highs and lower lows on the daily chart. On 2026-04-22 a candle dipped below the last swing low at Rs 452.0 and closed back above it: the sell-side liquidity under that low was taken, but sellers couldn't hold the price down.

The trigger. On 2026-04-27 price closed above the last lower high at Rs 498.0 - a change of character (CHoCH). The last down candle at the bottom of that move is the order block: Rs 428.3 to Rs 455.7, in the discount half of the range.

The plan. A limit buy at the top of the block, Rs 455.7. The stop just under the block at Rs 426.2 - a 6.5% risk. The target 1 : 2 at Rs 514.8.

Stage B: the bigger trend was still down, so this was a trade on the internal turn only - which is why the target stays modest, below the next big lower high.

What our data said on 2026-04-29, before the entry: MacroLens Rating D (14/100) - a weak score; the latest report (Q2 82/83, published 2026-02-09) showed a loss of Rs 6.5 a share over the last year; a typical Rs 57 lakh traded a day (fair to trade). The data was weak: a D rating and a loss over the last year. When the structure says buy and the business says be careful, take a smaller size - or skip. Want to check today's numbers yourself? Use the "Check CITY yourself" links under this idea - the rating, fair value, dump risk, cornering and liquidity are all on the MacroLens NP desk (Pro tools).

What happened. Price came back into the block on 2026-04-29 and the order filled, but it closed through the bottom of the block and the stop was hit on 2026-05-05.

The lesson. This setup looked as good as the winners at the entry - losses like this are part of the method, and no setup works every time. The close below the block was the signal that the idea was wrong. With 1% risk per trade it costs about 1R (a little more with costs and T+2) - that's why the size matters more than the pick.

The method - swing, internal and fractal structure, order blocks and liquidity - is explained in full in our e-book The Complete NEPSE Trader. The rating, report and broker figures are MacroLens NP's own data as it stood on the entry day.